22 ESSAYS
Stay-Up Philosophy
Long-form thinking on what it takes to grow a venture past year five.
№ 007
Stay-Up Philosophy
From Start-Up to Stay-Up: The Sprouting Curve, Explained
The Sprouting Curve is the framework I built to explain why most ventures fail before year five and what separates the survivors. Drawn from Beyond Inception, this is the case for treating early-stage learning as the asset and earnings as the lagging indicator.
№ 037
Stay-Up Philosophy
Survivorship Bias Has a Brand Problem
Why the founder stories you read are statistically the wrong ones to learn from. Survivorship bias is well-known. The brand layer that compounds it is not, and it is the reason imported founder lessons consistently fail to transfer to the contexts where they are most enthusiastically applied.